I agree that the debate win goes to the person who went up in the polls, but that person is Clinton.
According to Nate Silver's 538,
Hillary Clinton is leading in the race for president, and she’s made meaningful gains since last week’s presidential debate. Clinton is currently a 72 percent favorite in our polls-only forecast, up from 55 percent just before the debate. That corresponds to a roughly 4-percentage-point national lead for Clinton, about where the race was as of Labor Day — before a series of mishaps for her in mid-September. Our polls-plus model, which blends polls with an economic index and generally produces a more conservative forecast, has Clinton with a 69 percent chance instead.To be clear, Silver states she has a 72% chance of winning, not that 72% of voters support her. He adjusts those numbers daily as more polls come in. Trump's numbers will continue to slide as news of his tax returns became more widely known and he himself spirals out of control, as he has done several times.
Silver waited for polls that were conducted after the debate, even though it was frustrating to wait six days.
Team Trump will continue to savage Clinton. Today, Wikileaks founder Julian Assange is scheduled to release the mother of all October surprises, enough to get her indicted.
Funny how Assange never criticizes Russia ... or Putin.
I suspect that whatever Assange has will just be more bullshit, but the Trumpions will seize on it, and Hillary's numbers will go down.
In the final analysis, the only poll that matters is the one on election day.