Dr. Steve Thode, the retired Director of Real Estate Studies at Lehigh University, has been crunching the daily numbers from the Covid-19 crisis. He has already predicted we will be locked down until sometime in July if Governor Tom Wolf insists on following his own formula. But it increasingly appears that the daily data being collected is contaminated. Here's what Dr. Thode has to say concerning today's numbers, which you can review yourself at the left sidebar.
The various daily state, PSU and county reports are beginning to look like toxic waste dumps.
Weird numbers all over the place:
NorCo reported 27 new deaths yesterday after reporting 0 deaths the previous 5 days. I know the coroner's office is responsible for reporting this. Gimme a break! 0 for five straight days, then 27 in one day? BTW, NorCo's daily reported deaths do not correspond to the state's figures for NorCo for any of the last 5 days.
The state reported today that the number of new cases in Wayne County was -10. Looks like the state is using the same PSU undergrads to record data for them. (Blogger's Note: PSU has admitted to using undergrads who have erroneously reported negative numbers)
Meanwhile, the state reported 137 new deaths today after reporting only a total of 118 new deaths the previous 3 days combined!
If the state's report is to be believed, more than 1 in 30 nursing home residents has died from COVID-19. A week ago it was 1 in 38. Maybe the governor's metric to go to "green" is when we have killed off all the nursing home folks.
Finally, if the state's report is to be believed, the positive test rate for the Big 10 Northeast has been below 10% for each of the last three days. The Big 10 Northeast had not had a single day with a positive test rate below 10% ever before, and was above 17% on May 10.
I think I need to start wearing a HAZMAT suit when I'm collecting the data.