According to Northampton County's Covid-19 dashboard, we've set a record of 136 new Covid-19 cases. The previous record was 122 new Covid-19 cases on April 4. This is about 1/8 of the total new cases reported statewide, and is completely at odds with results over the past several weeks and what is happening elsewhere.
I suppose this could be explained as the result of tests administered over the weekend. It could be a keystroke error. This anomaly is cause for concern. It this becomes a trend, we will remain in the red zone for a very long time.
54 comments:
As more testing hopefully rolls put we will see the true effect of this pandemic. The contagion level is extreme, hence pandemic. Those angry people who continue it safe and diminish the threat for their own agenda will not be happy. Why do you think Trump has dragged his feet on a nationwide testing push.
Forget YOUR percentage games. This is a serious public health issue. Only the mitigation efforts are stemming the tide. The death toll will continue to rise oi people do not follow the science and instead follow the politics of anger and fear.
And THIS is why we must be very careful about "reopening". Those who simply whine about wanting to reopen strike me as the least likely to observe social distancing.
Please let's not kill grandma and grandpa just to have some fun.
But I want to Golf! Those country club dues are not cheap!
So if the shutdown is working, why the big jump?
Nobody ever said the shutdown is perfect. The real question is where would we be without the shutdown?
State data say 1,970 cases and 55 deaths. Does that help to confirm?
Who is making-up these totals? What system of accountability is in place? These are relevant questions !
I'm not going to argue over opening up or not. BUT... What I'm seeing is far too many people in the country thinking the danger has passed and are going out many times more then they ever have over the last month or so. So here's my prediction (better hope I'm wrong)...
By the middle of May we will be FAR worse off then we've ever been over the last 8 weeks or so. If one thinks the supply chain or economy sucks now, we haven't seen anything yet.
Before anyone starts calling me a jackass, hold off for two or three weeks. It will be then I've earned everything coming to me.. either right or wrong.
I will begin to ignore some of Gov. Wolf’s suggestions this Saturday!
But we want to prove that Trump is right!
Cases rising. I guess the lockdown was useless. Susquehanna County folks will remain in jail while Northampton and Lehigh deliver high numbers that are primarily from three nursing homes. Those homes (that 99% in the Northeast zone neither live near nor will ever visit) are going to keep us all in jail. It makes perfect sense. The lockdown was an inspired idea.
Sane folks will adhere to the message in 224 above. New cases of covid daily. Look at trend through May and make reopening decisions then.
Worst day in NoCo CoViD history, but Lamont just reopened the parks? PA state stores closed = lots of PA plates at NJ liquor stores. PA golf courses open = lots of NJ plates at PA golf courses. NorCo parks open = plates from all over at NorCo parks. Our leaders at every level are seriously retarded. I don't believe their numbers because they lie all the time. Why would a pandemic suddenly make politicians honest? It didn't and they're not.
2:24PM LVCI
What is your personal count? Not what you heard, but how many of your family members have died? How many do you expect to lose over the next 3 weeks?
I would go by your personal numbers.
The only way I would call you a Jackass is if you were just talking shit, blowing the Aztec whistle, and have no personal story of tragedy from which we can learn.
Anonymous said...
I will begin to ignore some of Gov. Wolf’s suggestions this Saturday!
April 28, 2020 at 2:36 PM
I'd imagine that a big and brave boy such as yourself already would have been doing so.
2:36 if you get sick due to your actions ride it out at home come life or death. Have the courage of your convictions
Anonymous said...
Worst day in NoCo CoViD history, but Lamont just reopened the parks? PA state stores closed = lots of PA plates at NJ liquor stores. PA golf courses open = lots of NJ plates at PA golf courses. NorCo parks open = plates from all over at NorCo parks. Our leaders at every level are seriously retarded. I don't believe their numbers because they lie all the time. Why would a pandemic suddenly make politicians honest? It didn't and they're not.
April 28, 2020 at 2:55 PM
Oh, I assure you that "retardation" is not limited to government officials.
I think it would be useful if all those who comment on the blog about the Novel Virus give their direct family death number and age of victim before their comment.
Family number, age of victim, Trump ,Biden, or Other, then comment. I think we'd learn a lot about the science of this virus.
Sorry. I'm too busy quizzing my acquaintances concerning how many walked on the moon.
Hey 3:08, you always could call an emergency room or nursing home. Of course, they/'re probably too busy attending to the sick.
We base our facts on science. The use of sample sizes determine the facts. Using the jail as an example, they puff their chests because their numbers are low. Try testing a sample size, say 10%, and watch the number rise. Shit, try testing at all. We had an officer who just returned to work, and although he was diagnosed through telemedicine he was never tested at all! All he got was grief and a phone call about when he was going to return. Some officers were called by the same administrator and basically harassed about returning, whether they had it, showed symptoms, or otherwise felt unsafe due to their health issues. Not once did he ask about their health. Not once did he show any empathy. Our attendance pales in comparison to the problems at Gracedale. The overtime the prison pays is minimal because we are fully staffed but that's not good enough for them. Just do a sample size and we'll see the truth. The numbers will go up exponentially, which will reflect what's coming down the road throughout the country. But they don't want the truth to get out. Today we were told that too many of us are wasting gloves. Unreal.
April 28, 2020 at 2:55 PM Anonymous said...The only way I would call you a Jackass is if you were just talking shit, blowing the Aztec whistle, and have no personal story of tragedy from which we can learn.
I will not spend time defending my remarks. I'm sure it would be an utter waste of my time. Stifle yourself for two or three more weeks. Then come back at me. Besides, I'm not going to allow myself to turn Bernie's comment section into a chatroom debate between you and I.
No relative or acquaintance is part of the two hundredths of one percent of Pennsylvanians taken by this plague. I lost one in January to heart disease (age 84), and one last November in a car crash.
I hate all politicians. I believe we've been had and the shutdown should never had happened. Old folks should have been quarantined and the young should have been left to get sick (or not, as we're finding out). The economic devastation will take more lives, in the final analysis. Those who lost jobs will soon lose homes. A terrible reckoning is coming. We went too far.
Of course, 3:33 is exactly right. We have been had. Most troubling to see is how willing some Americans have been to give-up their Freedom to radical political ideology. They rely on whatever their nightly news reader says. Even worse, some take their cues from Hollywood actors and their Chinese studio owners.
3:23PM
So 0 and Biden... It's not personal it's political for you and your family, two or three more weeks won't change a thing and you know it.
Like 99.9% of us any hardship you or your family will experience will come from the lock-down not the Novel Virus.
Meanwhile, Lehigh County had something like its 3rd or 4th lowest number since March 31. Just can't cross the Monocasy I guess.
Bernie, do you have a sense of where the big increase is? It is a big number but i wonder if it is confined to a specific area...ie Gracedale, another facility etc.
As read on the failing Morning Call website, Gov. Wolf today said re-opening decisions will be made using common sense, not any statistical metrics. I agree! My common sense tells me the tide is changing on this latest effort to destroy President Trump. My freedom is far more important than any Governor’s poorly created scheme. My local small business owner needs my patronage. If they open on their own - I’m there with cash in hand. It all starts Saturday!
I'll be starting my Dr. Rachael Levine victory garden this weekend.
Our scarecrow is going to be a hoot.
Way to be optimistic! But your party still is losing because it really doesn't give two shits about public health.
The only plot is the one you've led against yourself. Enjoy its fruits!
Medicare for all is my party.
LVL reporting that tuesday's numbers include some lag reporting from the weekend just getting posted today.
So instead of revising the numbers from saturday through monday, they decided to place it all in one day so it looks like a tremendous spike in cases.
Wolf says, "I'll start opening up when I damn well feel like it. And, not one minute sooner!"
So, our dictator has assumed absolute and complete control over the lives of more than 12 million people. And many of you are just fine with that, right?
Tell me where I am wrong.
https://www.mcall.com/coronavirus/mc-nws-pa-roundup-virus-tuesday-20200428-oxmxw4uswnei3mgsp7k576v3ie-story.html
How many of these 136 deaths are really from COVID-19? PA is the worse in fudging the numbers.
5.28
Wolf has had that power because the law gives him that power.
As the Court ruled the General assembly can overrule him so your problem is with the Legislature
Doc Rock said...
Wolf says, "I'll start opening up when I damn well feel like it. And, not one minute sooner!"
So, our dictator has assumed absolute and complete control over the lives of more than 12 million people. And many of you are just fine with that, right?
Tell me where I am wrong.
https://www.mcall.com/coronavirus/mc-nws-pa-roundup-virus-tuesday-20200428-oxmxw4uswnei3mgsp7k576v3ie-story.html
April 28, 2020 at 5:14 PM
For starters, dictators aren't elected in free elections. They also don't have legislative oversight and judicial review.
Yes, it's not as though we elected some anonymous blogger ding-a-ling, is it?
And the ass-wipes from the local Chamber Of Commerce are pushing for reopening. It was the local Chamber and the national chamber that pushed hard for the election of President Trump. The national chamber spent millions. You helped cause this crisis, now live with it.
6:08 - Tell me where our governor has the right to suspend the First Amendment indefinitely. Read the US Constitution. It did not delegate the Bill of Rights to any authoritarian governor. Even an elected one.
7.16
Under PA law he gets the power to do a lot of things.
Until a Federal Court rules differently.
Again the law allows the Legislature to overrule the Governor.
They are your problem.
And another reason to be careful
https://www.buzzfeed.com/albertonardelli/coronavirus-deaths-sweden-denmark?utm_source=fark&utm_medium=website&utm_content=link&ICID=ref_fark
" A seven-day rolling average of confirmed COVID-19 deaths compiled by Our World in Data shows Sweden’s rate at 9.6 deaths per million and Denmark’s at 1.8 — and the gap between the two countries has widened this month.
7:16 - Apparently reading comprehension is not in your wheelhouse. Answer the question: what gives the governor the right to suspend the First Amendment? Please cite a law, a case, whatever.
Not holding my breath.
8:23pm
You don't need the right if you got the power, except for the Ice Cream and Chocolate, it's no different than the jungle.
Doc Rock said...
7:16 - Apparently reading comprehension is not in your wheelhouse. Answer the question: what gives the governor the right to suspend the First Amendment? Please cite a law, a case, whatever.
Not holding my breath.
April 28, 2020 at 8:23 PM
I don't know to whom you're talking (mostly yourself, I suspect), but restrictions on large gatherings are content-neutral so there's no First Amendment violation. Otherwise, you can worship or speak as you wish. Y9ou just can't do it in large gatherings.
Our Supreme Court has upheld Wolf's orders twice now.
Look at the pattern at one week intervals in the graph. It is similar; however this spike is higher than the previous two on Mondays. On the other hand if you take away about 60 deaths from the spike on Monday and distribute to Saturday and Sunday to flatten it out, you are left with about 65-70 (I don't recall the exact #) for Monday. So in fact, it could just be a weekend dip. Need another few data points. People do need to accept this will not be over soon, by any stretch of the imagination. And when restaurants open, it probably will not look "normal".
9:32 - Wolf closed churches as "non-essential." He didn't restrict the size of religious gatherings. He banned them. What part of: “Congress shall make no law respecting an establishment of religion, or prohibiting the free exercise thereof; or abridging the freedom of speech, or of the press; or the right of the people peaceably to assemble, and to petition the Government for a redress of grievances.” do you not understand?
The US Constitution does not delegate the First Amendment to the states. Or, to elected, political hacks, whether they be governors or state judges. Governors and state judges have no authority to suspend any amendment to the US Constitution. Period.
Doc Rock must be a fan of the Deadliest Catch since he's got the ole wheelhouse in most of his rants.
Well now Hey doc cock, try yelling fire in a crowded theater. It is an old example but it proves the point. Nothing is absolute. Also providing for the common good is not a vice, sparky. You need to get that microchip out of your brain.
agreed
I think I've figured out how the state experts are counting deaths.
"I'm thi-i-i-nk---ing of a number...."
https://www.wfmz.com/health/coronavirus/wednesday-update-1-102-new-cases-in-pennsylvania-up-total-to-44-366/article_30350d34-8a2e-11ea-a359-43f83d9929db.html
"Health officials are reporting 479 more deaths, bringing the state total to 2,195. The large increase is a result of "continued work to reconcile data from various sources," and the deaths have occurred over the last two weeks, officials said."
A-a-a-nd...we're back down to 38 new cases for today.
Lehigh County at 34.
Doc Rock said...
9:32 - Wolf closed churches as "non-essential." He didn't restrict the size of religious gatherings. He banned them. What part of: “Congress shall make no law respecting an establishment of religion, or prohibiting the free exercise thereof; or abridging the freedom of speech, or of the press; or the right of the people peaceably to assemble, and to petition the Government for a redress of grievances.” do you not understand?
The US Constitution does not delegate the First Amendment to the states. Or, to elected, political hacks, whether they be governors or state judges. Governors and state judges have no authority to suspend any amendment to the US Constitution. Period.
April 28, 2020 at 11:07 PM
The state has power to act during an emergency. That's why the churches still are closed.
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