Steve Thode, our COVID-19 numbers cruncher, notices the latest trends.
Here are some data relating to COVID:
1) Statewide, the 7-day new case rate peaked on October 8 with 33,764 cases. As of today (October 28), the 7-day new case rate has declined 22% to 26,235;
2) The most recent peak in the 7-day new death rate peaked on October 14 at 522 deaths. As of today (October 28), the 7-day new death rate has declined 16.7% to 477 deaths;
3) In toto, 31,292 Pennsylvanians have died from COVID. Of that total, 45.9% (14,374) have been among residents of Long-Term Care Facilities;
4) Locally, NorCo has been consistently reporting more new COVID cases than Lehigh County in recent months. Since early July, NorCo has reported 8,534 new cases while, over the same time period, Lehigh County has reported 8,433 new cases. Overall, since the beginning of the of the pandemic, NorCo has reported 92% as many cases as Lehigh County. This is somewhat surprising since, according to the 2020 census, Lehigh County has 16.4% more population than NorCo (374,557 v. 312,951).
4 comments:
NorCo has more commuters to dirty population-dense areas NY and NJ perhaps? Same with Monroe?
Maybe it's because the Lehigh Valley and most of Pennsylvania have a really high two-dose Vaccination rate, and the only places in PA that have covid outbreaks are places that have vaccination rates below 45% such as Bedford 32.8% Fulton 26.4%, Clarion 38.5%, and Potter County 30.9%. At this point, these are outbreaks of choice.
Something is noticeably wrong with the second data point - with the numbers presented, the decline in 7-day death rate is about 8.6%, not 16.7%.
Math is hard.
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