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Nazareth, Pa., United States

Tuesday, November 05, 2024

With 93.5% of Precincts Reporting, Trump Ahead of Harris by 8,081 Votes

As I've stated, Northampton County is considered a bellwether in the Presidential race. With 93.5% of the county's precincts reporting, Donald Trump currently has a 8,081 vote lead. But there are still approximately 20,000 MIBs to be tabulated. Moreover, the results from 10 precincts have yet to be tabulated, including the Banana Factory precinct that had long lines of Lehigh students waiting to cast a vote. 

In order to win the county, Harris needs to garner a high percentage of the remaining ballots and win big in several Bethlehem3, Bethlehem6, Easton3-3 and Lower Saucon5. She would need to keep it close in one remaining Bethlehem Tp and one Palmer Tp ward. 

Of the MIBs tabulated thus far, Harris got 63.5% of those votes. If she gets the same percentage of the remaining 20,000 MIBs, That's 12,700 votes to 7,300 for Trump. 

This would give her a total of 83,692 votes, but Trump would still have 86,373 votes. So she needs a higher percentage of those last-minute MIBs in her favor and also needs to win big in the remaining districts. 

Statewide, Trump is ahead. But that will likely get much closer as MIBs are tabulated. But it appears Trump is poised to win NorCo, as he did in 2016. 

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