FBI statistics shows crime going down, but is it really? That has been the subject of vigorous debates by talking heads and in the Presidential and Congressional races. For that reason, a group of analysts have come up with the Real-Time Crime Index, which tracks data from 350 law enforcement agencies, including the nation's top 25 cities. Nationwide, it supports the contention that both violent and property crime is down. This also seems to be the case in Lehigh Valley communities and even Philly.
Let's look at Allentown. In the first 6 months of 2023, there were 210 violent crimes. Over the same period it's 202, a slight drop. There were 1,362 property crimes during the first six months of 2023. This year, there were 1,137, a 16.5% drop. For some reason, rapes have nearly doubled, but murders dropped from 12 to 2.
In Philly, there's been a 35.7% drop in murder, 12.3% decrease in violent crime and an 11.9% dip ion property crime.
68 comments:
You realize that report doesn't include LA and several large cities, including New Orleans, or murder capital? Sloppy sloppy sloppy. Such an old a hack. Lol.
Lying with faulty statistics. NYC, LA, Phoenix, Nassau Co, NY, Suffolk Co., NY (that's a population of 7 million on Long Island), San Jose, CA are not reporting their crime data. This is a very sloppy post. Also, in the world of Soros DAs, many crimes are not reported. Just like CoViD, if you don't want more CoViD, stop testing. I'd say nice try. But this is a terrible swing and miss.
Bernie O’Hare to 1:52, you are incorrect. It actually does include New Orleans. If you bothers to actually click on the link and checked it out for yourself, you would see that it does. You instead prefer to believe what you want to believe or more precisely what the LEADER tells you. Wake up! You are in a cult
All reports such as this one rely exclusively upon the integrity of each reporting agency. Among some jurisdictions, we will find discrepancies in which crimes are ever reported, in the integrity of who makes the report, how the stats were tweaked, etc.
No one wants their area of influence seen as dangerous, or even as a threat. Take for instance, downtown retail districts, vacation destinations, school districts, and the like. Typically, every election season crimes are promoted as down.
Just like public opinion polls in likely voting, numbers are EASY to fix to provide whatever result desired. The agency paying for the poll, almost always gets what it wants. If it does not, someone else will be used.
In my observation, Kamala Harris and Donald Trump can’t possibly be equal in nationwide public support. Not even close.
exactly what this person said
This the same FBI that counts suicide by gun as a gun murder? FBI can get bent.
Does this include the crimes people don't call the cops on because they know due to cashless bail they will be let out the same day and it's not worth it? How many crimes have been downgraded to misdemeanors by George Soros AD's ? This data is shady at best by an FBI that says parents that go to school board meetings are domestic terrorists. If dems believe this then go move to Oakland or inner city Baltimore. You won't
Ignorance speaks first, and speaks loudest
All lies by you and the fake media of the democratic party for the purpose of putting the worsted candidate for president in our history into office.
But, but, but, FOX News and Dear Leader tell us to be ascared of the big cities and all of the dirty people who live there, they are mean and hurt weak and elderly people! I am so confused...
My cult (if that’s what it is) believes in honesty and integrity. All are welcome to join.
From 2000 to 2022, the average red state murder rate was 24% higher than the average blue state murder rate.
Red states like Mississippi, Louisiana, and Alabama are America’s murder capitals and have had the highest three murder rates for 15 of the last 23 years.
Tell CVS, Walgreens, and all the other companies leaving our crime ridden cities. I have family members who don't leave their apts. at night due to the high crime.
Amazing stats considering everything we see on ALL news networks. I wonder if the "reclassification" of certain crimes (or letting people go) affects these numbers. Considering the jobs report , I do not trust any data from the Govt.
Bernie, I think you got called out. Enough with the whitewashing. We're all living an increasingly lower standard of living and level of safety due to this administration. You can't publish false crime numbers and convince people their reality is wrong. Trump may not be ideal, but he's far better than our other option. And you don't have to like it, but trying to convince people otherwise... well, that just makes you look silly.
Look at all the idiot Trump Cult boys denying facts and reality. Funny these morons used the same data to prove that crime was up a few years ago. But now the reality isn't on their side its all fake news, and FBI conspiracies
1:52 , To be clear, the Real-Time Crime Index DOES include New Orleans and LA. The anonymous ready who said it does not is wrong or may be purposely lying, something that the Trump cult does.
Center City Allentown is begging folks like you to show up and give the town some vibrant foot traffic. Where have you been?
11:13, I must be maddening to belong to the Trump cult. You have to disbelieve so many sources. The FBI, DOJ, any news source, 350 law enforcement agencies, respected military leaders, Georgia's Governor and Sec'y of State, Trump's former VP, most of Trump's former staff, most of the tenets of any major religion that believe we have a moral obligation to be honest, most of the tenets of any major religion that believe we have a moral obligation to be compassionate, nearly all Democrats, the Springfield Rp Manager, etc., etc. When are you people going to wake up? You're worse than the Moonies.
Generally, you don’t tick me off, Bernie, but today is an exception. I’m tired of your cult remarks whenever someone questions or disagrees with you. Data can be skewed and it does happen too often.
Bernie you are a mess
Bernie - I’m going say this as someone who sees the crime reports on the ground - crime is up, and has been up since Covid. In our small town, the police department releases the call volume for each month, as well as a breakdown of calls. The numbers have, for the most part, trended up the past 4 years, so that call volume is now nearly double what it was before Covid.
Go move to Baltimore or Oakland.
"You have to disbelieve so many sources"
Bernie, Did these news sources tell us for years Trump colluded with Russia? Did these news sources tell us the Hunter Biden laptop was Russian disinformation? Both were lies spewed by CNN/MSNBC and we all know it. So why would we trust these people and the reason I laugh when you post New York Times, Washington Post, Politifact, Newsweek. They are not journalists they are Democrat activists.
Latest news from border ICE said there is at least 13000 murderers and rapist roaming the country --from Biden and Harris you Democrats lie like all hell and the fake media is trying to destroy our country Trump is needed now more than ever your no good politicians will never solve this
ICE Director reportedly stated 13,000 plus crossed the border with murder convictions. Sanctuary cities refuse to work with ICE and release them back into the community. Sure, Bernie, crime is down. Walz wants Minnesota to be a sanctuary state. Nice job, Biden/Harris. God help us. Vote Trump/Vance.
The major reason for this is a bit more complicated. Black Americans commit violent crime at a much higher rate. It's not so much that Alabama, Mississippi, etc. are "red". When you break it out by city there is a clear correlation between Black population, but not for other things like poverty, political affiliation, or gun ownership rates. Note to Bernie: These are just the statistics, not a "hate" post.
So if we are wrong Bernie how do you explain stores moving out of towns due to crime. How do you explain people who I know who live in cities across the United States saying they can't go out due to fear of being a victim. Even their city police tell them it's dangerous? How do you explain that people don't feel safe regardless of political party? Even the Springfield residents admitted to issues in their city despite how they initially got coverage of their plight may have been incorrect? How do you explain people moving from big cities dues to crime?And lastly how do you explain that initial numbers were wrong and corrected to reflect higher crime rates?
Bernie you are the fake blog that we know you are The truth is out the administration lied about Crime just like they lied about employment, and you back these people you are a piece of shit print this asshole
ICE this week gave numbers of the amount of illegal immigrants here that have committed crimes including murder in their countries. Check out Fox for this information. Speaking of crime
Today from ICE: Of the 7 million migrants released while their cases are being processed, 663,000 have criminal histories, 13,000 were convicted of homicide, 16,000 of sexual assault, and 1,845 face homicide charges. It's no wonder Trump is crushing Harris on the border and crime. But .... nativism, right? I think ICE released this on this day on purpose. Law enforcement can't stand her and ICE really hates her guts. A rare deep state helping hand for Trumpy, as he finishes strong in Arizona.
Bernie believes the democrats who lie like all hell he also believes the fake media who lies to try to get Harris in office . If she wins this country nis doomed.
As follow up to today's information on illegal criminals no other network is talking about it. Why is this? Who is ignoring the real stories? Trump supporters or Harris and the press
Wow you hate Trump so much that you are willing to put the American people in big time danger Anybody after hearing these crime numbers votes for Harris and the Democrats are anti -America
1:11 Don't forget the "Joe's not losing his marbles" narrative.
You're right- he's become unhinged.
Well I’m retired LEO. I know Philly had 562 murders in 2021. In 2014 they had 246. When we get back to 246 then we’ll talk.
Fake news in a fake blog
Wanna talk about gun control? Wanna talk about investing in public services for low-income folks? Wanna talk about strengthening our public education systems? Wanna talk about the child tax credit?
Mr. Honest & Integrity….I’m selling some gold sneakers— autographed by your leader. Also wine, steaks, Trumpy Bears, college educations, airline tix. Maybe a special date from Ivanka. All yours for your soul. The leader has none.
Does this report include the hundreds of thousands of fentanyl deaths as a result of Kamala’s southern border czarship?
Of course not.
Bernie. Cherry picking statistics again.
Real Time Crime Index?
What does the Uniform Crime Reporting say?
Wording. It comes down to wording.
Gas prices are down. If you stop there, it sounds like good news.
Considering gas prices have been above $3.50 for mid of Kamala’s tenure, $3.19 now should make the uninformed giddy.
Until you understand that when Kamala transitioned to power, the national average for a gallon of gas was $2.29…..an increase in price of pushing 40%.
That means everything transported by air, train or truck costs you 20-45% more.
Has your income gone up 20-45% since 2020.
It certainly hasn’t if you’re a senior on a fixed budget.
Vote for the democrats more of the same will come - no change - Vote for the republicans there will be change - guaranteed.
Sorry, the title of worst(ed)! candidate (and president) has already been taken by Trump.
The title of biggest liar has also been taken by Trump, by a long shot. You accuse the media of lying, but you and your fellow cult members never, never offer any evidence to support your claims. Because you can't.
10:07 I have family members who don't leave there apts at night.Like this is the social night life capital of the world. So stay home and what do they watch. Crime shows, medical shows that feed your paranoia .Then there's the reality shows.Am sure you eat that shit up.Just remember if you ain't good looking, skinny ,or broke your a loser.The answer is to blame or hate others for your current state of being.
11:13 lower standard of living my ass. We are in this mess because we demand a higher standard of living.So the immigrants are taking our jobs away from us. Laughable. Who among us wants to make beds,yardwork,dig ditches,farm work.Over 100 years ago my family came here and toiled in the cement plants.Can still recall women wearing babushkas sweeping the sidewalks in Northampton every morning. Amish and Mennonite farmers are becoming the last of the successful small farmers because the English can't get their
kids to toil with hard work. Work ethic has gone down the toilet.Its the culture stupid.
The dragging here is outstanding. Hat tip to you for accepting it after posting such ridiculous fake info. You earned it.
Gun control disarms the innocent, and we’ve dumped TRILLIONS of dollars over the years into public services and public education. Both are at record levels of funding.
And what have we gotten for it? Failing public schools, and failing cities that look like something out of a Mad Max movie.
The problem isn’t funding, it’s the POLICIES implemented in our (mostly) democrat-run urban areas. Until we wake up and realize that, you will continue to have the same problems, with the same politicians wasting more of your money.
Since this has devolved into a Harris vs. Trump debate, I’ll bite. Harris never won anything during primary season in 2020. In fact, she showed her arrogance and grating personality. Trump is a convicted felon and his supporters think he will uphold the laws of America. Harris chose Walz who reminds me of the stereotypical boy’s-club-butt-kissing teacher. Trump has cat-lady-hating Vance. Folks, America is screwed.
Cult member here. Check out the recent feature story on Yahoo News ( of all places). It deals with the horrible reputation traditional news media has created for itself. Most telling are the more than 100 comments posted by readers.
ALL the major corporate news sources (CNN, NBC, ABC, FOX, etc.) are being rejected by the general public due to the excessive amount of government propaganda they promote. The majority of Americans, including our younger adult groups, have abandoned the ‘big guys’ in favor of smaller independent sources. The once important ‘big guys’ are losing revenue, viewers, readers, listeners, in record amounts. That segment has essentially killed itself due to blatant lying and bias.
Our own Morning Call is just as dead. You see, when it comes to politics and world affairs, the Morning Call simply runs the same junk sent to them by the big boys. Even their hand-picked, occasional comment features are equally deceptive and misleading.
The only change you can expect from republicans is more tax breaks for billionaires and more cuts for social security and Medicare. Every single proposal the Trump made during his presidency had cuts to social security and Medicare, you know, the services that the middle class relies on just to survive the golden years? You MAGAts are consistently shooting yourselves in the foot every time you vote a republican into office, but no, instead of realizing this fact, you become bootlickers and defend this behavior because you’ve been indoctrinated into a cult. You’d rather take your last breath in a dilapidated trailer park voting for the people who don’t give a shit about you.
Everybody must vote for Trump because God want it that way because he saved Trump from the bullet and trump wants to stop the killing of all those babies by the democrats.
“Down” from record-breaking highs doesn’t give me much comfort. Kind of like the Captain of the Titanic saying the water is only rushing in at 1000 gallons a minute, not 1200 like it was a little while ago.
10:07 Hey asshole, they don't live here in this cultural wasteland- they live in LA and NY
Please everyone who is behind Harris put signs out on your lawn so all the illegal immigrants can stop at your house for food and lodging. No crime problems with them.
Anyone who votes for Harris is a stupid idiot and please you me the results will show you why. I hope we don't come to that.
Cult member here. YES, this election is about Trump v. Harris. You seem to think either way we choose, America is screwed. Maybe. But, wouldn’t you want to see America LESS screwed?
Look, I’m in my mid-70s. I think I’ll be fine after years of hard work, careful spending, and years of steady saving. How about you?
I believe anyone under the age of 50 needs to take this election seriously. Your children’s future is at risk. Of the 2 choices before us, . . . the safest bet for a better future for ALL of us is . . . Donald Trump.
This consequence of this election goes far beyond merely Democrat or Republican. This is about KEEPING America, not tossing it aside for something much different.
Bernie, you might find this article interesting. It raises the question of why Biden did not campaign on his very real accomplishments, such as the lower crime that your post documents.
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/sep/29/election-biden-harris-administration-record
"Inflation has returned to close to where it was shortly before the Covid pandemic, defying predictions of recession and giving the Federal Reserve confidence to cut interest rates. Petrol prices, always a key indicator of discontent, have been coming down for months; in August the national average for a gallon was $3.38 – about 47 cents lower than the same time a year ago.
"Border security, long Trump’s signature issue, is also improving. After the former president compelled Republicans in Congress to block a border security bill, Biden stepped in to partially suspend asylum processing. In July the number of people illegally crossing the southern border dropped to 56,400, the lowest level in nearly four years, according to government figures.
"Sabato said: “Everything’s getting better except the American public thinks we’re in a recession and there are thieves outside their door every evening and those immigrants are trying to eat their pets. It’s insane. A classic case of the failure of civic education."
Cult member (9:30). Here is the definition of a cult:
"Cult is a lay term for a group perceived as requiring unwavering devotion to a set of beliefs and practices which are considered deviant outside the norms of society. Such groups are typically founded or led by a charismatic and self-appointed leader who tightly controls its members."
So you appear to take pride in being a member of the Trump cult. Go figure. But I will merely point out that your post provides no evidence that traditional news media are lying to us. You rely entirely on the veracity of a particular unnamed story on Yahoo.
In addition to blindly accepting articles that you happen to agree with, cult members like you will believe the "opinions" of your Dear Leader which amount to nothing more than name-calling, no evidence or reasons given.
@12:42
You guys are literally voting for a frickin felon, A FELON. The party of law and order is voting for a FELON. Tell me why we shouldn’t consider you in a cult when your cognitive dissonance is literally rotting your brain to dust. Anyone aligning themselves with that orange sociopath is indeed, a sociopath themselves. Get help.
10;07 its their not there- shows your ignorance
CNN has actually done a great article about fact checking Harris and admitted to out of context info. Stretching truth and also lying. Check it out
Until each of us become more civilized no matter who is president we are screwed. If this blog reflects our country right now then the future for our children looks pretty bad. We have all truly lost our way
Dead on.
Only thing he/she (they) got wrong was this:
The presidential polling is more accurately representative of this county/state/country, than this blog!
Relax people. I was at WAWA this weekend, it was cordial.
We don't hate eachother... we hate what we fear.
Cult member here.
I am fully aware what the definition of the term cult states. Over the years, it seems some posters believe that by labeling those with a differing view with some derogatory term will ‘bully’ away any who express a message they don’t want to get out
Examples include racist, cultist, sycophant, white supremacist, liar, fascist, Marxist, knuckle dragger, and on it goes. I refuse to be bullied away. Thus, I’ll sometimes wear such a silly badge proudly.
Donald Trump uses a different method. Unfairly vilify him publicly in effort to run him off has never worked. As you’ve seen time and again, Trump fights back. Prepare to take double the same medicine in return. Will they ever learn?
I understand such a childish reply from someone who has never met me is a defensive weapon for an individual who has no mature and substantive way to defend what THEY believe. They cannot offer a proper rebuttal so they try a ‘hit and run’ attack to make the discussion end. THEY want out quickly.
No, I’m not a Cult Member. I’m registered Independent. And to this, I’ll now be labeled a Liar. Have your fun!
Call me a member of a cult, a racist, or any other derogatory name. I honestly don’t care in the least bit.
OK, so let's just say a police chief wants to "massage" their statistics, and code a violent assault as a scuffle, or an armed robbery as a theft. That would lead to an appearance that crime has reduced when in fact all that has happened is it's been downgraded. But murder? There is always a family member and there is always a body, by definition. It's simply a fact that there have been fewer murders lately, and that the number of murders have gone down at a greater rate in "blue" states where there are fewer guns.
Prove me wrong.
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