Steve Thode has been faithfully following and reporting on the Covid-19 data since the pandemic's inception. Here's his latest:
As of Monday, December 20, Lehigh/NorCo have reported a total of 3,859 new COVID cases the past seven days.
The record peak for 7-day cases occurred last Thursday when Lehigh/Norco reported a total of 4,573 new cases.
Here's how things have gone for the month of December:
You own views are appreciated, especially if they differ from mine. But remember, commenting is a privilege, not a right. I will delete personal attacks or off-topic remarks at my discretion. Comments that play into the tribalism that has consumed this nation will be declined. So will comments alleging voter fraud unless backed up by concrete evidence. If you attack someone personally, I expect you to identify yourself. I will delete criticisms of my comment policy, vulgarities, cut-and-paste jobs from other sources and any suggestion of violence towards anyone. I will also delete sweeping generalizations about mainstream parties or ideologies, i.e. identity politics. My decisions on these matters are made on a case by case basis, and may be affected by my mood that day, my access to the blog at the time the comment was made or other information that isn’t readily apparent.
I wonder if/when "At Home Tests" are widely available/distributed how these #s will be effected...
ReplyDeleteI do know that over the past 2 weeks I've known more people with COVID than at any point since this whole mess started. Mercifully none are hospitalized, so I am guessing they're the latest variant...
Seems so eerily similar to exactly one year ago. It ain't the flu. But its seasonal cycles seem similar - i.e. colder drier air and more indoors living.
ReplyDeleteLike a tide it will ebb and flow. It will come to another high after this next holiday burst.
ReplyDeleteAt this point if you are not vaccinated, fuck off and die on the side of the road!
ReplyDeleteBernie. Why do you choose to not print some but print things like this?
DeleteI certainly would not presume to quarrel with the esteemed Professor Thode. I have looked at the data myself as well, and he is indeed quite correct.
ReplyDeleteMy question in general, however, is what it *means*.
I have yet to see government or any news outlet break down cases on a clinical / demographic basis. This is of the utmost importance in understanding the threat. More importantly, the case count is never mapped against actual morbidity and mortality.
So, if, hypothetically, the bulk of the cases result in hospitalization or death, that's a very new and disturbing development.
If most mortality and significant morbidity is among the elderly with multiple pre-existing comorbidities, that, however unfortunate, is nothing new -- for COVID or most other infectious diseases. It *does*, I believe, indicate a failing in deploying proper prophylactic protocols to protect the at risk -- much like we provide for chemo patients who can die of the common cold.
If, on the other hand, cases among healthy working age people are asymptomatic or a minor bout of flu-like symptoms, and mortality is a tiny percentage of that population, that's very consistent with what we've seen to date.
Simply counting undifferentiated cases gives us no insight whatsoever as to the nature of the threat, how it might be changing, or the proper means to combat it.
"unvaccinated and had previously been infected with the coronavirus" , DEAD!
ReplyDeleteI posted stuff here last year about gatherings .I had Chemical Training in U.SArmy I was once the chemical officer for a major PA.Army National Guard unit at higher unit . The contamination proceedure is the same as a high end hospital unit. If your party of your family are in the house , open the windows from the top and turn -=The heat up. People are going to get infected by relatives in same room shorty . I said this last year. Eat dinner and don’t talk directly to each other. Not every member will have been vaccinated and thats,a that’s a given. What I was trained to do and what’s happening now are exactly the same.
ReplyDelete"At this point if you are not vaccinated, fuck off and die on the side of the road!"
ReplyDeleteThe greatest sin you can commit is to wish for harm on another person.
Last week, I spoke with a very health conscious unvaccinated county employee. His brother got the J&J, developed clots and died. I would never order him to get a vaccine. I know what happened to his brother is extremely rare. But he has both a rational and emotional reason to hesitate. I would only insist on it for medical professionals.
4.28
ReplyDeleteWhile your main point remains
try
https://www.yalemedicine.org/news/coronavirus-vaccine-blood-clots
"Researchers have also seen a strong association between blood clots and COVID-19 infection itself, says Hyung Chun, MD, a Yale Medicine cardiologist. “Unfortunately, in those who are sick enough with COVID-19 to be in the intensive care unit [ICU], blood clots have been a major factor in their illness,” Dr. Chun says. Close to 20% of COVID-19 patients in the ICU develop blood clots, he says."