Yesterday, Northampton County Council member Lamont McClure announced that he had decided against seeking re-election. The common perception is that it would be impossible for a Democrat to win that district, especially after Williams Township was added to it. But is this true? Looking at the most recent election there, I'd say Democrats have a shot. Here's why.
1. Democrat Tom Wolf defeated Governor Corbett in this district, 10,282 to 9,720, He won despite heavy tallies for Republicans seeking other seats. This means that, contrary to popular wisdom, some Republicans will split their tickets for the right reason.
2. Bethlehem Township is becoming more blue. Wolf won there, 2,543 to 2,074. Congressman Matt Cartwright also won in six of 13 voting districts.
3. The boroughs are voting Democrat. Wolf won easily in Nazareth, Northampton and North Catty. In fact, State Senate candidate Mark Aurand was able to beat Mario Scavello in Nazareth, though he lost his home township of Lower Nazareth.
My guess is that Marty Zaworski or John Cusick will seek the Republican nod, and there may be a contested primary.
Today's one-liner: "The shortest way to the distinguishing excellence of any writer is through his hostile critics." Richard LeGallienne
Local Government TV
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Tuesday, January 13, 2015
12 comments:
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Corbett most despised governor in modern history, his win means nothing. Off year elections will be Republican vote jamborees. McClure would have lost big next year and ruined his county executive run. He did the politically smart thing and left a winner to prepare his campaign.
ReplyDeletelots of rs in the paterno cult.
ReplyDeleteI though Rs were zombies who only pull one lever? Oh, that's Allentown, Bethlehem, and Easton Ds.
ReplyDeleteR's only do pull one lever or none at all.
ReplyDeleteYou have zombies in both parties. however, if you didn't have Democrats splitting tickets most Republicans would not get elected. Republicans would rather die than vote for a Democrat. Rush is right.
How about bringing back Rodney Applegate for that seat. Also, doesn't your man hero Seyfried live in that district? What about Aurand running for Council or bring back Tom O'donnell. Plenty of D's to pick from.
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ReplyDeleteTricia mezzacarappy, You are both OT and insane.
ReplyDelete8:21, I'm not sure Applegate is up to it. Jerry is not interested. As for O'Donnell, he's nuts. But there are some Dems interested.
ReplyDeleteCan we forget about Seyfried. The guy is done. Give it a rest.
ReplyDeletePlease not Stoffa, God not Stoffa. For all that is Holy not Stoffa.
ReplyDeleteTom O'Donnell? The same Tom O'Donnell that ran for a seat for Norco that were swept so badly?
ReplyDeletePlease tell me you are kidding!
As A Dem I can say BIG NO!
He's the one Democrat who could make Brown look good.
ReplyDelete