tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9299655.post7368185725657135004..comments2024-03-28T04:58:30.734-04:00Comments on Lehigh Valley Ramblings: Will Gov't Shutdown Boost LV Dems?Bernie O'Harehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13756311150988957401noreply@blogger.comBlogger51125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9299655.post-37905366624700023802013-10-06T10:01:17.707-04:002013-10-06T10:01:17.707-04:00How can the GOP pick and chose wonders and losers?...How can the GOP pick and chose wonders and losers? Such damn hipocryts. What purpose does this shut down prove when the GOP has hurt the private sector, killed jobs however will give back pay once this is over.<br /><br /><br />Rep Dent and Sen Toomey what about the private sector who have mortgages go pay and are being sent home with leave without pay?<br /><br />Vote on the Senate bill and end this shut down. Stop picking winners and losers.<br /><br />Shame on the Tea Party. <br /><br />Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9299655.post-65847611673350984632013-10-05T23:31:56.322-04:002013-10-05T23:31:56.322-04:00anon 4:39, please put that tin foil hat back on.anon 4:39, please put that tin foil hat back on.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9299655.post-74037752442695550152013-10-05T16:39:34.838-04:002013-10-05T16:39:34.838-04:00Obamacare is about so much more then healthcare. G...Obamacare is about so much more then healthcare. Get a grip. This is the way to single payer where the government is in full control and for me I can afford an alternative. The rest of you deserve to swallow this poison pill. I feel sorry for those who did not vote for this and hope you all find an alternative. Unfortunately you'll need to have some extra money. There are things on this bill that will affect just about everyone. If it were just about healthcare for a few million and not free healthcare for illegals it would have been an inch on paper instead of what it is. Those who want it can have it.....Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9299655.post-17792523573335716342013-10-04T21:57:26.296-04:002013-10-04T21:57:26.296-04:00I've decided on Seyfried, Heckman, Hunter and ...I've decided on Seyfried, Heckman, Hunter and Ferraro. I have one more pick to make. Bernie O'Harehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13756311150988957401noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9299655.post-28094669769577273022013-10-04T21:54:31.851-04:002013-10-04T21:54:31.851-04:00Bernie, I know two people I am voting for, what sh...Bernie, I know two people I am voting for, what should I do about the other three for county council?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9299655.post-69434283342241994962013-10-04T17:05:21.019-04:002013-10-04T17:05:21.019-04:00 Mr. Miller I/m a big fan of yours ,Question is ,I... Mr. Miller I/m a big fan of yours ,Question is ,Is Peg complacent?Peter J.Cochrannoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9299655.post-7094138876747144792013-10-04T16:51:01.609-04:002013-10-04T16:51:01.609-04:00Anonymous 12:59AM
Thank you for your comment on Mr...Anonymous 12:59AM<br />Thank you for your comment on Mrs. Ferraro. She is indeed clueless and has been for decades. Let me note that Peg is a nice lady but she is no a conservative in any party. She should not run on the Republican ticket. Were she a Republican she would continue to runAnonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17766496228942881554noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9299655.post-33164522316139960232013-10-04T16:48:22.644-04:002013-10-04T16:48:22.644-04:00Ok. It's 16;45 0n 04 Oct.2013. I say that this... Ok. It's 16;45 0n 04 Oct.2013. I say that this shutdown will be friendly to Republican's and Blue Dog Dem's. I'm sorry to dicker with you Bernie but I have faith in the American People for a correction in our direction. I will put out a BROWN sign in my front yard and Mayor Panto is right, No leadership in Washington ,D.C.The issue of voter ID's will be the LAW of the Land and voter fraud will subside in various states shortly. This my prediction ,So help me God! Peter J.Cochrannoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9299655.post-66881428352873758392013-10-04T16:41:54.644-04:002013-10-04T16:41:54.644-04:00Bernie, as a former Dem now long time Independent ...Bernie, as a former Dem now long time Independent I don't think the Federal level will impact my vote. I am, as most, disgusted by <br />Washington and think they all need a paddling in the woodshed.<br /><br />However, in the upcoming election I have made some decisions. With John Stoffa leaving, whomever is county executive will have no county government experience. Also the new people have yet to pick up on the operations and appear clueless at times. While Peg and Lamont have been around, I find Peg, while likable, even more confused today then she was when she started. As for Lamont, he is a disappointment on any scale.<br /><br />So I will definite vote for Heckman and Seyfried. They are centrists that have a strong county knowledge base. Between them I feel we will get the most bang for our buck, even if we disagree on specific issues. They will also provide an excellent check on the new Admisntration. Since neither is running fir any other office, political ambition or fear of losing votes is not their concern.<br /><br />As for the other three council members, I am not sure. Maybe Peg again. As to the others they I am not sure about. The Borzo McClure connection is troubling but the Republicans seem a bot dodgy on their agenda's. Phillips and O'Donnell are out, they are to far out there for local government. So my three are still up in the air.<br /><br />As for Executive, probably Callahan based purely on experience.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9299655.post-58527696188555948662013-10-04T16:00:33.043-04:002013-10-04T16:00:33.043-04:003:31, I was told there would be no hearing today. ...3:31, I was told there would be no hearing today. I was in the courtroom, waiting for it, and an attorney set me straight. Bernie O'Harehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13756311150988957401noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9299655.post-46347406713024397652013-10-04T15:32:11.397-04:002013-10-04T15:32:11.397-04:00Blacks with a differing opinion are branded Uncle ...Blacks with a differing opinion are branded Uncle Toms by liberals who are obsessed with colors and numbers and love to tell us what's racist or not. The president is half white. His golf game is half good. Fore!Occupy Quotasnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9299655.post-7245503566379178582013-10-04T15:31:38.953-04:002013-10-04T15:31:38.953-04:00YO BO! Did Jesus Gregory have his hearing today??...YO BO! Did Jesus Gregory have his hearing today?? Is he a free man? Is he still Graterford's most eligible Mediterranean manslab?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9299655.post-59255952868236038742013-10-04T15:27:29.318-04:002013-10-04T15:27:29.318-04:00Blue dog Dem said...
Stop calling it "ObamaC... Blue dog Dem said...<br /><br />Stop calling it "ObamaCare" Bernie, it's the Affordable Health Care Act.<br /><br />"Obamacare", "ACA", what's the difference? A turd by any other name is still a turd. And it still stinks. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9299655.post-70214339860991408052013-10-04T15:23:25.753-04:002013-10-04T15:23:25.753-04:00The funny thing about the teabaggers is their orig...The funny thing about the teabaggers is their origins. They claim to be for limited government, keeping government out of our lives. When the Patriot Act was passed it was the greatest attack on the constitution in over a century. You lost many individual freedoms guaranteed under the Constitution. Where was the "tea party"? They were no where to be found. Even the "news" from Bullshit Mountain said if you have nothing to hide, why worry.<br /><br />However, once the black guy got elected and said that we need to fix our healthcare system, they rolled out of their beds frothing at the mouth and baying at the moon, Zulu pictures a waving.<br /><br />Interesting. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9299655.post-13308666320025155292013-10-04T15:20:47.267-04:002013-10-04T15:20:47.267-04:00President Obama has himself embraced and identifie...President Obama has himself embraced and identifies with the term Obamacare, so I will use it.Bernie O'Harehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13756311150988957401noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9299655.post-34582476583479892002013-10-04T15:14:09.803-04:002013-10-04T15:14:09.803-04:00Stop calling it "ObamaCare" Bernie, it&#...Stop calling it "ObamaCare" Bernie, it's the Affordable Health Care Act. You are becoming a puppet of Rupert Murdoch, the Tribune Company, and other conservative think tanks. Your ejection from the Lehigh Valley Tea Party was a red herring meant to disguise your deeply neoconservative leanings. The whole ruse of living in a squalid 1 bedroom hovel, driving a jalopy and eating beefaroni no longer fools the true blue Dems you claim to associate with. <br /><br />Voting for Mittens was another attempt at casting yourself as a progressive moderate who can be bipartisan, the reality is your to the right of Strom Thurmond.Blue dog Demnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9299655.post-73448772978237166382013-10-04T13:45:23.564-04:002013-10-04T13:45:23.564-04:00Occupy Kathleen Sebelius said...
"We're ...Occupy Kathleen Sebelius said...<br /><br />"We're seeing steady improvement from WTF to FUBAR. I'm from the government and I'm here to help!"<br /><br />When we reach SNAFU, we'll be right in Reid and Pelosi's comfort zone.<br /><br />Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9299655.post-13452577575666664732013-10-04T13:34:21.690-04:002013-10-04T13:34:21.690-04:00Meanwhile, it's Day 4 and the website is down ...Meanwhile, it's Day 4 and the website is down again. It's a cross between a grease fire and a pig fuck, according to JD Power and Associates Consumer Ratings. We're seeing steady improvement from WTF to FUBAR. I'm from the government and I'm here to help!<br /><br />Love,<br />Kathy <3Occupy Kathleen Sebeliusnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9299655.post-76578984848265601322013-10-04T13:28:53.614-04:002013-10-04T13:28:53.614-04:00Tom Muller will lose to Scott Ott by at least fiv...Tom Muller will lose to Scott Ott by at least five points. Take it to the bank. Muller is not a Dem and Ott should and will point that out. he will rightly tie him directly to the huge Lehigh County tax increase.<br /><br />Muller is an arrogant self-=absorbed ass that will explode as he usually does, Ott can just smile and collect the votes.<br /><br />Lehigh County has had enough of Muller, the Cunningham lite candidate.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9299655.post-11764542202001808662013-10-04T13:08:02.519-04:002013-10-04T13:08:02.519-04:00@anon 10:51 - It appears that you are the "di...@anon 10:51 - It appears that you are the "dickwad" who can't read. In what work of fiction did you "look it up" that the PA voter ID law was held unconstitutional three times? Judge Simpson simply delayed its implementation. It's uninformed, low-information sheep like you who threaten the future of this country.Just Another "Dickwad"noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9299655.post-38339713508869768852013-10-04T13:03:59.215-04:002013-10-04T13:03:59.215-04:00Spin all you want.
Meanwhile, Obama puts barbed w...Spin all you want.<br /><br />Meanwhile, Obama puts barbed wire around the World War II Veteran's Memorial.<br /><br />Stay classy, Democrats!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9299655.post-4845667390002345472013-10-04T12:51:18.029-04:002013-10-04T12:51:18.029-04:00I think the fact that supporters of local Dem cand...I think the fact that supporters of local Dem candidates are praying for ANY impact of the "Slimdown" on the local races is a good indication of where those races are.<br /><br />People going to the polls in November will be informed voters, and will likely know that Tom Muller was the architect behind Lehigh county's 16% tax hike, and that John Callahan has run Bethlehem into the ground financially.<br /><br />Those facts won't bode well for those running with them.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9299655.post-6906736754221168492013-10-04T12:16:10.145-04:002013-10-04T12:16:10.145-04:00Anonymous 10:51
Instead of calling me names and l...Anonymous 10:51<br /><br />Instead of calling me names and losing your mind over a simple comment, perhaps you should do some research.<br /><br />No ruling has been made on the PA Voter ID law, its implementation has simply been delayed until a ruling is made.<br /><br />In 2008, in a challenge to Indiana's Voter ID law, The U.S. Supreme Court ruled that states can require voters to produce photo identification without violating their constitutional rights.<br /><br />So maybe next time you should get your facts straight before telling others to check theirsJonahnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9299655.post-59634438545596889142013-10-04T11:34:25.072-04:002013-10-04T11:34:25.072-04:00Must explain why I never much liked it.Must explain why I never much liked it.Bernie O'Harehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13756311150988957401noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9299655.post-57168726304237489752013-10-04T11:02:33.002-04:002013-10-04T11:02:33.002-04:00To get to the root question, will the shutdown hel...To get to the root question, will the shutdown help LV Dems?<br /><br />I lean toward, "probably." The follow up question is "to what degree."<br /><br />You seemed to hit on the two counties having different factors. Norco, you have a strong slate with a strong candidate at the top of the ticket. There is a strong narrative also and it boils down to Ron Angle is wildly unpopular. The D's are effectively saying, "we are the anti-Ron Angles," while the R's are saying a variety of things. Clear contrasts. The top of the ticket is simply a contrast in political class. John Brown is a nice enough guy but he is effectively the police dept scheduler for Bangor police while John Callahan has run the region's second largest and arguably most prosperous city during the great recession. The access to name recognition and resources is crazy. End of the day, the shutdown doesn't hurt D's with the moveable electorate. Strong R's won't be swayed by the shutdown. Some might stay home. A few D's that skip elections might be motivated to show up. Bottom line: in Norco, the strength of the top of the ticket, the resources and the strong narrative/message would likely give D's a strong victory any way. Here is the measurement to your question: if Peg loses, then we can probably say that the shut down had an impact. What the impact is, we can argue. It is probably a combo of suppressing R turnout, a small bump in D turnout and a really pissed off moveable block of Mod D/R and I's. <br /><br />Lehigh County, you rightly point to the individual races murking things. We know this. Jones and Brace win. Duh. Dougherty has the edge in his race. The answer to your question, however, comes in different ways. In LC, you have two swing seats that are heavily contested by proven candidates (contrast to 2009 when the one candidate was damaged b/c of her husband's reputation and an unknown in another district). In these races, the R's are extremely conservative. One is a slash and burn budget hawk. The other just compared same sex partner benefits to giving money to my dog. It is entirely possible that the voters in these swing districts dump these incumbents. The alternatives are reasonable alternatives and they have strong political bases.<br /><br />Bottom line in LC: a few hundred votes county-wide and a couple dozen votes in the two competitive districts could be the story. Will a damaged/demoralized R party play a factor? Probably more in LC than Norco. <br /><br />How do we measure: if D's take 0/1 of 3 of the toss up races, we probably say the national stuff had no impact and that the individual races were decided by almost exclusively individual concerns. If D's take 2 of 3, we can probably say the national stuff had a some impact, but I can also be convinced that the local candidates were the drivers. If D's take all 3, we can say the national stuff was significant but still have room to argue that the R's were simply too extreme for their seats. If d's take all 3 and Dougherty sweats it out or loses, then national influences will be clear. If that happens, I'd be nervous as a PA R heading into 2014.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com